Tuesday, March 3, 2015

Don's Tuesday Column

THE WAY I SEE IT   by Don Polson   Red Bluff Daily News   3/03/2015

Economic success and failure

Common sense explains the inability on the part of political, media and cultural elites to grasp the shortcomings of liberal/progressive economic policy: the simple recognition of success and failure. Every person and family, each private service or charitable group, every business, corporation and entrepreneurial endeavor—all face the reality that success is based on goals and purposes. That involves accepting the finite resources available to any given person, group or business with which to accomplish said goals—one’s income, a family’s time and effort, the sales, production or revenue of a company.
Wise and intelligent efforts produce not only successful and efficient results, but also the avoidance of wasteful or useless activity. In real life, quantity and quality standards, as well as comparative analysis, provide feedback to measure efforts, and guidance on recognizing and correcting problems.
The above principles explain why the information I’ve provided on America’s failed economic performance is important. Whereas commercial success is a known and measurable thing, our nation’s economic and employment success is measured in comparative terms. Progressives are unwilling to accept that policies driven by liberal, government-centric, Keynesian theory could objectively be termed failures—they simply dismiss verifiable, measurable facts, and impugn the motives and veracity of those pointing out said failures.
Facts, as they say, are stubborn things. In “For Most Of Us, There’s No Recovery,” Jack Kelly writes, “From 1820 through 2000, real (inflation-adjusted) gross domestic product grew at an average annual rate of 3.6 percent. Last year was the ninth consecutive year in which the economy grew less than 3 percent.” I showed already how Obama’s recovery lagged previous ones, massively so compared to the Reagan recovery.
In “The Missing Ingredient: Economic Growth,” John Hinderaker explained “Unemployment, low wages and lack of opportunity for income advancement dominate discussion of our economy these days. But an obvious ingredient is too often missing from the conversation: economic growth. Growth, the rising tide that lifts all boats, creates more jobs, more wealth, and more opportunities for advancement. The various ills that voters and politicians complain about are all largely the consequence of slow or non-existent growth.
“This is the Obama administration’s most fundamental failing in domestic policy…rapid growth should have been relatively easy to attain. But the administration’s wasteful spending (the stimulus) and anti-business policies (the EPA) put a lid on that great opportunity.” He included a chart, titled “Economic Growth In 2013 Just Half Of What The President Said His Policies Would Deliver,” which showed 4 years (2009, 2010, 2011, 2012) of predictions for the growth in 2013. Predicted growth averaged about 4 percent; actual 2013 growth was 1.9 percent. The difference “is enormous. We can now see that all of the projections that Obama and his budget team have given us are worthless.”
In “Defining Economic Failure Down,” George Will used Daniel Patrick Moynihan’s famous phrase, “defining deviancy down,” to explain how liberal mainstream reporting has attempted to persuade America that the “Economy Pulls Ahead” (NYT); the Times cheerily called it “an island of relative strength” which is, to Will, “defining failure down.”
The Wall Street Journal headlined “U.S. Economy Hits Speed Bumps,” as though speedy growth had been normal for a while. The single quarter of 5 percent growth, in a year (2014) that averaged just 2.4 percent, illustrated by comparison how America’s economy had gone “43 consecutive quarters without 5 percent growth, the longest such period since the government began keeping the pertinent records in 1947.” The ninth consecutive year under-3 percent compared to the Reagan recovery, when “there were five quarters of 7 percent-or-higher growth, and five years averaged 4.6 percent growth.” Will’s sub-headline, “We’re coming to accept a weaker economy as the new normal,” says it all.
April 2014 marked the point when the number of jobs returned to pre-recession levels; there were, however, 15 million more Americans. Nicole Gelinas writes in the Manhattan Institute’s ‘City Journal,’ “A healthy economy should add 200,000 new jobs every month…By that standard, America should have 133 million people working in the private sector right now, not 118.4 million.”
Will: “The progressive project of maximizing the number of people dependent on government is also aided by the acid of insecurity that grows rapidly when the economy does not. Anxious and disappointed people are susceptible to progressives’ blandishments about the political allocation of wealth and opportunity—‘free’ this and that. By making slow growth normal, iatrogenic (i.e. prescriptive) government serves the progressive program of defining economic failure down.”

Gallup’s survey showed that only 44 percent of adults work 30 hours or more a week. Businessweek found that men, in 2012, working full time earned less (in inflation-adjusted dollars) than they did in 1973. Obama’s 7,805 regulations cost $1.88 trillion per year; reduce growth by 12 percent; cost $10,000 per employee; and have reduced jobs by 546,000 (NAM, Phoenix Center). Donald Lambro nailed it: “Obama Is The Main Obstacle To Economic Growth.”

Monday, March 2, 2015

Don't Believe the Hype—We're Not Even Close to Full Employment


Employment office, 1916. Photo: Seattle Municipal Archives
 
After Friday’s jobs announcement reported that unemployment is down to 5.6 percent, many in the media, including Jonathan Chait at New York magazine and the Christian Science Monitor asked whether we could be getting close to full employment. On the contrary, full employment is still a distant vision. If that sounds like a radical and contrarian claim, you weren’t listening to what these same people saying about the economy seven years ago.
Before the recession, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected we would have 5 million more jobs at the end of 2014 than we actually do. It also projected that the GDP would be more than 11 percent higher in 2014 than it is now. This translates into a difference in annual output of roughly $2 trillion or more than $6,000 per person. They predicted that wage and salary income would be roughly 20 percent higher than it is today. Many economists had similar projections.
Measured against where these people expected the economy to be at this point seven years ago, the economy is indeed awful. Millions of people who should have jobs don’t, and those who do have jobs are working for much lower wages than would be the case in a healthy economy.
The level of confusion in public discussions of the economy is astounding. The people extolling the virtues of the economy today were too blind to see the $8 trillion housing bubble that had been driving the economy before the downturn. Most experts just say what other economic experts say; they are not capable of independently assessing the economy.
Many experts touted the big 0.4 percent jump in average hourly wages that the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported for November as a sign of the “tide turning.” In December the BLS released data showed a drop in nominal wages so that the average hourly wage for the month was less than 0.1 percent higher than its October level. But monthly wage numbers are highly erratic. Wages did not actually jump in November and then fall in December; this was just a measurement error.
While the 240,000-per-mont pace of job growth in 2014 is certainly better than prior years in the recovery, it is still weak in comparison to recoveries from severe downturns in the past. The economy created 7.3 million jobs between December 1982 and December 1984. Given today’s larger labor market, an equivalent rate of growth would imply more than 10.6 million jobs over a two-year period, or more than 440,000 jobs a month.
Even the 5 percent GDP growth reported for the third quarter is not especially impressive. The economy averaged 5 percent GDP growth for three years following both the 1974–1975 and the 1981–82 recessions. In this context, one quarter of 5 percent growth should not be much cause for celebration, especially since the growth this quarter was largely an anomaly. It was driven by an extraordinary jump in military spending and a big fall in the size of the trade deficit that is unlikely to be repeated.
Lastly, consumers are not being hesitant about spending, as economists frequently say. Consumption is actually high relative to income measured by any standard except the peaks of the stock and housing bubbles. Similarly, investment is not especially low as a share of GDP. It is not quite back to its pre-recession peak, but it is at 2006 levels, a year in which economists were not claiming that investment was depressed. Housing construction remains low, but with a higher than normal vacancy rate, this is hardly surprising.
• • •
Public discourse on the economy seems unaware of some basic facts. First and foremost, capitalist economies generally grow. It makes no more sense to celebrate the fact that the economy is larger in 2015 than in 2014 than it does to celebrate that your ten-year old kid is taller than when she was five. Growth is the norm; the relevant measure is the rate of growth, and here there is little to be happy about.
Second, the stock market is not a measure of economic success. It is a measure of how much wealth the people who own stock have. If the stock market rises rapidly because the economy is growing, and profits and stock prices are growing along with it, then this is further confirmation of a strong economy. However, if the stock market rises because there has been a redistribution from wages to profits, as has been the case, this is hardly reason for the bulk of the population, who hold little or no stock, to cheer.
Finally, most workers are unlikely to see wage growth until the labor market has far less unemployment than at present. If the economy continues to add 240,000 jobs a month, we may be at this point somewhere in 2016, but we aren’t there now and we will almost certainly not be there any time in 2015. While the unemployment rate has fallen most of the way back to its pre-recession level, this is largely because millions of unemployed workers have dropped out of the labor force and are no longer counted as unemployed. Contrary to what is often claimed, this is not a story of aging baby boomers retiring.
Millions of prime age workers (ages 25–54) did not just suddenly decide to retire. They left the labor force because of weak labor demand. The number of people involuntarily working part-time is still 2 million above its pre-recession level. Furthermore, the share of unemployment due to people voluntarily quitting their previous jobs, a measure of confidence in the strength of the labor market, remains well below its pre-recession level.
• • •
The economy’s basic problem remains: we lack a source of demand to replace the demand created by the housing bubble.
There are two obvious ways to fill the demand gap. One would be with larger budget deficits. More government spending on education, infrastructure, or research and development could easily fill the demand gap, but deficit spending is out of fashion in political circles. Even Democrats celebrate job-killing deficit reduction.
The other mechanism for filling the demand gap would be a lower trade deficit. This could be achieved by reducing the value of the dollar. But this is not likely to happen because powerful interests such as Walmart and General Electric benefit from the low-cost imports they get due to an over-valued dollar. (Plus, a weaker dollar doesn’t sound macho, so politicians don’t want to talk about it.)
So, the economy is left gradually to fill the gap in demand that is preventing workers from having enough bargaining power to secure higher wages. But even this story is not assured. The recent rise in the dollar will likely increase the trade deficit, weakening demand growth in 2015 and 2016.
Even worse, the Fed may raise interest rates. This would discourage investment, increase mortgage costs, and in other ways dampen demand. Ironically the Fed is debating higher interest rates at a time when inflation is well below the Fed’s 2 percent target and actually is heading downward.
And if the rate of job creation slows substantially, who knows how many years it will be before workers start seeing real wage growth. But hey, our political leaders in Washington are fighting over who should get credit for the great economy.  

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION HAS ALREADY HANDED OUT MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL WORK PERMITS


A federal court has ruled that the Obama administration’s plan to issue work permits to illegal immigrants is–this is not exactly a surprise–illegal. But the Democrats are undeterred. Today, for the fourth time, they filibustered funding for the Department of Homeland Security, insisting that if Obama’s illegal program isn’t funded, the entire DHS must be shut down.
In the meantime, it has come to light that the Obama administration has been handing out illegal work permits for years. The Center for Immigration Studies has received documents in response to a Freedom of Information Act request that indicate millions of such illegal work permits have been issued since 2009. Here is the CIS report in its entirety:
Some highlights:
Government data reveal that more than 7.4 million work permits (formally known as Employment Authorization Documents) were issued to aliens from 2009 to 2014. Because neither lawful permanent residents (green card holders) nor temporary work visa holders need a work permit, this amounts to a huge parallel immigrant work authorization system outside the numerical limits and categories set by Congress. …
Approximately 2.1 million work permits were issued to aliens with temporary visas or who entered under the Visa Waiver Program. Of these, about 1.4 million (66 percent) had a visa status for which employment is generally prohibited under the law, except in what are supposed to be rare cases. For example, more than 548,000 work permits were issued to aliens on tourist visas and 593,000 were issued to foreign students. More than 213,000 were issued to dependents of students and guestworkers — all categories in which the law prohibits employment except in rare circumstances. …
More than 2.2 million work permits were issued over this time period to illegal aliens or aliens unqualified for admission. Nearly all of these (2.1 million) were illegal aliens who crossed the border illegally (Entered Without Inspection). Inexplicably, 2,860 work permits were issued to aliens who were denied asylum, were suspected of using fraudulent documents, were stowaways, or were refused at a port of entry….
A huge number of work permits, 1.9 million, were issued to aliens whose status was unknown, not recorded by the adjudicator, or not disclosed by U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), the agency that processes the applications.
The United States has never experienced anything remotely approaching the scofflaw Obama administration.

MAN BITES DOG: CBS NEWS CALLS GENDER PAY GAP “A COMPLETE MYTH”


I had to do a double shot to make sure that this headline really came from CBS News:
Not a half-truth, a semi-myth, a sort of small lie. A “complete myth.” Just take in the lede:
According to all the media headlines about a new White House report, there’s still a big pay gap between men and women in America. The report found thatwomen earn 75 cents for every dollar men make. Sounds pretty conclusive, doesn’t it? Well, it’s not. It’s misleading.
According to highly acclaimed career expert and best-selling author, Marty Nemko, “The data is clear that for the same work men and women are paid roughly the same. The media need to look beyond the claims of feminist organizations.”
The story goes on to list the reasons why the pay gap talking point is wrong. Among them:
• Men are far more likely to choose careers that are more dangerous, so they naturally pay more.
• Men are far more likely to work in higher-paying fields and occupations (by choice).
• Men are far more likely to take work in uncomfortable, isolated, and undesirable locations that pay more.
• Men work longer hours than women do.
• Men are more likely to take jobs that require work on weekends and evenings and therefore pay more.
• Even within the same career category, men are more likely to pursue high-stress and higher-paid areas of specialization.
• Despite all of the above, unmarried women who’ve never had a child actually earn more than unmarried men, according to Nemko and data compiled from the Census Bureau.
• Women business owners make less than half of what male business owners make, which, since they have no boss, means it’s independent of discrimination.
More details at the link to the complete story.  The story also has the bad taste to quote from the Obama Labor Department’s report on the gender pay gap myth from five years ago:
An Analysis of Reasons for the Disparity in Wages Between Men and Women” prepared, under contract, for the U.S. Department of Labor in 1/09 finds:
“This study leads to the unambiguous conclusion that the differences in the compensation of men and women are the result of a multitude of factors and that the raw wage gap should not be used as the basis to justify corrective action. Indeed, there may be nothing to correct. The differences in raw wages may be almost entirely the result of the individual choices being made by both male and female workers.”
Coming soon: Dan Rather admits he’s a leftist toady? Maybe on April Fools’ Day.  More likely someone at CBS News is going to hear about letting this story slip through.

THE APPALLING HYPOCRISY OF OBAMA AND HILLARY

Yeah, I know, a headline about liberal hypocrisy is not exactly a man-bites-dog story, but I understand some starlet at the Oscars last night (I didn’t watch, for about the 30th year in a row) bleated about inequality in wages between men and women. I wonder if she’s had a look at womens’ wages in Obama’s White House, or in Hillary Clinton’s Senate office.
Mark Perry has done the work that the media won’t, and it isn’t pretty for the SJW types who can’t shut up about the wage gap. Here’s the chart Mark has made for Hillary’s Senate staff:
Perry 1 copy
Mark adds:
Hillary Clinton can’t have it both ways, either: a) there are gender pay differences throughout the entire economy and in any organization including her Senate staff, which can be explained by factors other than gender discrimination including age, years of continuous work experience, level of education, number of hours worked, marital status, number of children, workplace environment and workplace safety, industry differences, etc., or b) any gender pay gap in aggregate, unadjusted salaries automatically exposes gender discrimination – including Sen. Clinton’s staff – and Clinton then needs to explain why she was “waging a war on her female Senate staffers” by paying them 28% less on average than men (and 3.5 times greater than the 9.2% average gender pay gap for Washington, D.C.).
Hullary Tweet copy
But wait—there’s more! Guess what the pay gap between men and women working in Obama’s White House? Here:
Perry 2 copyMark can’t resist piling on, and why not:
So while the president brags in presidential proclamations about fighting for equal pay and gender equality, he might want to investigate and address his own glass ceiling for federal female employees working on his staff at the White house. Paraphrasing the president’s own words from his 2014 State of the Union speech, “You know, today, women make up about half our White House workforce, but they still make only 86.7 cents for every dollar a man earns. That is wrong, and in 2014, it’s an embarrassment.”
Unfortunately, because of the glass ceiling at the White House, women working on Obama’s staff must work much longer than their male colleagues to earn the same amount of pay. The typical female White House staffer who earned $65,650 last year will have to work about two additional months into 2015 to earn the same income that the typical man earned working at the White House last year ($75,750). In the tradition of the National Committee on Pay Equity which identifies and recognizes “Equal Pay Day” every year (and which has been endorsed annually by President Obama with presidential proclamations every year since he was elected) I hereby proclaim that White House Equal Pay Day will take place this year next week on Friday, February 27, 2014. That date symbolizes how far into the 2015 calendar year a typical female White House staffer will have to continue working – slightly more than 38 days — to earn the same income that her male counterpart earned last year. By recognizing White House Equal Pay Day, we can bring attention to the glass ceiling at the White House and highlight the injustice of the gender wage gap at the White House.
Heh.  Someone should josh Earnest with a question about this, and watch him change the subject.

Sunday, March 1, 2015

The Obama administration fears the kind of plain speaking that Netanyahu will deliver to Congress


By John Bolton

When Speaker of the House John Boehner invited Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to address Congress on Iran's nuclear weapons program, one might have thought that America's politicians could benefit from participating in a serious discussion about a menacing global threat from the leader of a gravely endangered U.S. ally.
Instead, controversy erupted over the propriety of the speaker's invitation, the etiquette of when he or Israel's Washington embassy should have informed the State Department, whether President Obama would receive Netanyahu at the White House and, most frivolously of all, whether Boehner's invitation violated the Constitution. Rather than discussing potentially mortal risks for the United States, Israel, our Arab friends and, indeed, the whole world, we witnessed a cat fight, instigated embarrassingly by America's president, over whether everyone was using the right fork.
In short, this “debate” has been the very embodiment of placing process and style over substance in the making of foreign policy. And like all such distracting exercises, it is at best a waste of breath. Ask the ayatollahs in Tehran, who surely find this misallocation of American time, attention and resources to be totally amusing.
Unfortunately for the United States and all other countries concerned with the proliferation of nuclear weapons, the consequences of White House petulance are far more serious. The very pettiness of the dispute, moreover, actually underscores that Obama is unwilling to debate the underlying merits of his policies.
There was controversy in Israel, from a strictly domestic political perspective, whether Netanyahu should be speaking to Congress so close to the March 17 Knesset elections. Not surprisingly, Netanyahu asked that his address to Congress coincide with the annual Washington convention of the American-Israel Public Affairs Committee, an event every Israeli political leader wants to attend.
Whether Israelis criticizing Netanyahu were jealous of his scoring a “twofer” in America, whether he violated some unwritten protocol or whether his speech might actually backfire politically, Israeli voters will sort out on March 17.
Instead, I am concerned here with whether Boehner did anything improper or unwise from a U.S. perspective. And the answer clearly is “no.”
For Americans, debating substance must replace critiquing style. America (together with the other four Security Council permanent members and Germany) is negotiating over Tehran's nuclear-weapons program in a fashion almost certain to produce a tragically flawed agreement that will leave Iran with the upper hand and the world in peril.
The stakes are as high as they come. But Obama cannot be candid about the terms of the ongoing discussions, especially now. The inevitable consequences of his dangerous position already are provoking widespread bipartisan disapproval in America.
The White House most fears the effect Netanyahu will have on congressional consideration of further Iran sanctions if no deal is reached. Obama is worried with good reason. Although Iran and the West have been negotiating since 2003, only Obama has made the massive concessions to Tehran that have brought a deal close at hand. And it is not just what Netanyahu will say in Washington but also his timing that set off Obama and his acolytes.
In fact, Netanyahu previously addressed a joint session of Congress on May 24, 2011, demonstrating, among other things, his gaping differences with Obama regarding Israel's ultimate borders, under negotiation with the Palestinians. The New York Times reported that “Mr. Netanyahu received so many standing ovations that at times it appeared that the lawmakers were listening to his speech standing up.” Even worse, from Obama's perspective, The Times said Netanyahu's “speech had many of the trappings of a presidential State of the Union address.”
Ironically, Obama touched off the current controversy when he persuaded or allowed British Prime Minister David Cameron to lobby members of Congress against the pending Iran sanctions proposals. At a joint Obama-Cameron news conference in Washington, the British leader answered forthrightly that he had spoken with senators and would likely speak to more, to convey “the opinion of the United Kingdom” that sanctions legislation would impair the ongoing negotiations.
Although publicly admitting Cameron's lobbying efforts was highly unusual, they were hardly shocking in a day when foreign countries hire Washington lobbying firms to influence Congress, the executive branch and even U.S. public opinion. And even less shockingly, we do the same to foreign governments.
What likely irritated Obama more was that Netanyahu's star power will almost certainly eclipse Cameron's and that the arguments in favor of sanctions legislation are more persuasive than the Obama-Cameron view has been thus far. Moreover, British parliamentary elections are set for May 7, so Cameron's timing obviously does not differ in principle from Netanyahu's.
In short, Boehner outgunned and outmaneuvered Obama politically, a presumptuousness that could not go unchallenged from the heights of Mount Obama. In America, plain speaking remains a virtue. That's what Netanyahu will bring to Congress — and what Obama fears.
John Bolton, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, was the U.S. permanent representative to the United Nations and, previously, the undersecretary of State for arms control and international security.


Read more: http://triblive.com/opinion/featuredcommentary/7693086-74/netanyahu-obama-congress#ixzz3SyOPNQME 
Follow us: @triblive on Twitter | triblive on Facebook

The Scorching of California

VICTOR DAVIS HANSON
How Green extremists made a bad drought worse
Winter 2015
MICAH ALBERT/REDUX
The drought has threatened to turn large tracts of farmland into dust.
In mid-December, the first large storms in three years drenched California. No one knows whether the rain and snow will continue—only that it must last for weeks if a record three-year drought, both natural and man-made, is to end. In the 1970s, coastal elites squelched California’s near-century-long commitment to building dams, reservoirs, and canals, even as the Golden State’s population ballooned. Court-ordered drainage of man-made lakes, meant to restore fish to the 1,100-square-mile Sacramento–San Joaquin River Delta, partly caused central California’s reservoir water to dry up. Not content with preventing construction of new water infrastructure, environmentalists reverse-engineered existing projects to divert precious water away from agriculture, privileging the needs of fish over the needs of people. Then they alleged that global warming, not their own foolish policies, had caused the current crisis.
Even as a fourth year of drought threatens the state, canal water from the Hetch Hetchy reservoir in Yosemite National Park keeps Silicon Valley and the San Francisco Bay Area a verdant oasis. This parched coastal mountain range would have depopulated long ago without the infrastructure that an earlier, wiser generation built and that latter-day regulators and environmentalists so casually deprecated. (See “California’s Promethean Past,” Summer 2013.) Gardens and lawns remain green in Palo Alto, San Mateo, Cupertino, and San Francisco, where residents continue to benefit from past investments in huge water transfers from inland mountains to the coast. They will be the last to go dry.
grew up in the central San Joaquin Valley during the 1950s. In those days, some old-timers remembered with fondness when the undammed Kings River’s wild, white water would gush down into the sparsely populated valley. But most Californians never had such nostalgia. Past generations accepted that California was a growing state (with some 20 million people by 1970), that agriculture was its premier industry, and that the state fed not just its own people but millions across America and overseas. All of that required redistribution of water—and thus dams, reservoirs, and irrigation canals.
For 50 years, the state transferred surface water from northern California to the Central Valley through the California State Water Project and the federal Central Valley Project. Given these vast and ambitious initiatives, Californians didn’t worry much about the occasional one- or two-year drought or the steady growth in population. The postwar, can-do mentality resulted in a brilliantly engineered water system, far ahead of its time, that brought canal water daily from the 30 percent of the state where rain and snow were plentiful—mostly north of Sacramento as well as from the Sierra Nevada Mountains—to the lower, western, and warmer 70 percent of the state, where people preferred to work, farm, and live.
Everyone seemed to benefit. Floods in northern California became a thing of the past. The more than 40 major mountain reservoirs generated clean hydroelectric power. New lakes offered recreation for millions living in a once-arid state. Gravity-fed snowmelt was channeled into irrigation canals, opening millions of new acres to farming and ending reliance on pumping the aquifer. To most Californians, the irrigated, fertile Central Valley seemed a natural occurrence, not an environmental anomaly made possible only through the foresight of a now-forgotten generation of engineers and hydrologists.
Just as California’s freeways were designed to grow to meet increased traffic, the state’s vast water projects were engineered to expand with the population. Many assumed that the state would finish planned additions to the California State Water Project and its ancillaries. But in the 1960s and early 1970s, no one anticipated that the then-nascent environmental movement would one day go to court to stop most new dam construction, including the 14,000-acre Sites Reservoir on the Sacramento River near Maxwell; the Los Banos Grandes facility, along a section of the California Aqueduct in Merced County; and the Temperance Flat Reservoir, above Millerton Lake north of Fresno. Had the gigantic Klamath River diversion project not likewise been canceled in the 1970s, the resulting Aw Paw reservoir would have been the state’s largest man-made reservoir. At two-thirds the size of Lake Mead, it might have stored 15 million acre-feet of water, enough to supply San Francisco for 30 years. California’s water-storage capacity would be nearly double what it is today had these plans come to fruition. It was just as difficult to imagine that environmentalists would try to divert contracted irrigation and municipal water from already-established reservoirs. Yet they did just that, and subsequently moved to freeze California’s water-storage resources at 1970s capacities.
All the while, the Green activists remained blissfully unconcerned about the vast immigration into California from Latin America and Mexico that would help double the state’s population in just four decades, to 40 million. Had population growth remained static, perhaps California could have lived with partially finished water projects. The state might also have been able to restore the flow of scenic rivers from the mountains to the sea, maintained a robust agribusiness sector, and even survived a four- or five-year drought. But if California continues to block new construction of the State Water Project as well as additions to local and federal water-storage infrastructure, officials must halve California’s population, or shut down the 5 million acres of irrigated crops on the Central Valley’s west side, or cut back municipal water usage in a way never before done in the United States.

(READ THE REST--WELL WORTH THE TIME): http://www.city-journal.org/2015/25_1_california-drought.html

Obama’s Multipronged Assault on Truth and Reality

Obama’s Multipronged Assault on Truth and Reality


President Obama is fond of invoking the term “narrative,” so it’s worth considering several instances in which he invokes exactly the wrong narrative–the wrong frame–around events.
The most obvious is the president’s repeated insistence that militant Islam is utterly disconnected from the Islamic faith. As this much-discussed essay in the Atlantic points out:
Many mainstream Muslim organizations have gone so far as to say the Islamic State is, in fact, un-Islamic. It is, of course, reassuring to know that the vast majority of Muslims have zero interest in replacing Hollywood movies with public executions as evening entertainment. But Muslims who call the Islamic State un-Islamic are typically, as the Princeton scholar Bernard Haykel, the leading expert on the group’s theology, told me, “embarrassed and politically correct, with a cotton-candy view of their own religion” that neglects “what their religion has historically and legally required.” Many denials of the Islamic State’s religious nature, he said, are rooted in an “interfaith-Christian-nonsense tradition.”
The author, Graeme Wood, adds this:
According to Haykel, the ranks of the Islamic State are deeply infused with religious vigor. Koranic quotations are ubiquitous. “Even the foot soldiers spout this stuff constantly,” Haykel said. “They mug for their cameras and repeat their basic doctrines in formulaic fashion, and they do it all the time.” He regards the claim that the Islamic State has distorted the texts of Islam as preposterous, sustainable only through willful ignorance. “People want to absolve Islam,” he said. “It’s this ‘Islam is a religion of peace’ mantra. As if there is such a thing as ‘Islam’! It’s what Muslims do, and how they interpret their texts.” Those texts are shared by all Sunni Muslims, not just the Islamic State. “And these guys have just as much legitimacy as anyone else.”
President Obama continues to insist the opposite, pretending that what is true is false, and even suggesting those who are speaking the truth are actually endangering the lives of innocent people. This makes Mr. Obama’s comments offensive as well as ignorant.
But that hardly exhausts the examples of false narratives employed by the president. As this exchange between Fox’s Ed Henry and White House press secretary Josh Earnest demonstrates, in its statement the White House avoided saying that the 21 Egyptian Christians who were beheaded by members of ISIS were Christian, even though that was the reason they were beheaded. At the same time the president suggested that the murder of three Muslim students at the University of North Carolina was because they were Muslim, when in fact that wasn’t by any means clear when the White House issued its statement. (The shooting appears to have involved a long-standing dispute over parking.) So when Christian faith is a factor in a massacre, it’s denied, and when there’s no evidence that the Islamic faith was a factor in a killing, it’s nevertheless asserted.
And then there was the shooting in Ferguson, Missouri, in which the president and his attorney general constantly spoke about the shooting of Michael Brown by Officer Darren Wilson as if race was a factor in the shooting. That assertion is fiction. It was an invention, just as it was an invention to suggest, as the president did back in 2009, that the arrest of Harvard professor Henry Louis Gates Jr. by Cambridge Police Sgt. James Crowley was racially motivated.
Here, then, are three separate examples of the president imposing a false narrative on events. (I could cite many others.) Which makes Mr. Obama a truly post-modern president, in which there is no objective truth but simply narrative. Mr. Obama doesn’t just distort the facts; he inverts them. He makes things up as he goes along. This kind of thing isn’t unusual to find in the academy. But to see a president and his aides so thoroughly deconstruct truth is quite rare, and evidence of a stunningly rigid and dogmatic mind.
The sheer audacity of Mr. Obama’s multipronged assault on truth is one of the more troubling aspects of his deeply troubling presidency.