Thursday, June 14, 2012

Obama's 2008 base is cracking: Gallup

Obama's 2008 base is cracking: Gallup
 
AP
AP




President Obama today is -- what else? -- fundraising again.

But while he's out, Gallup released a seriously ominous poll for the Democrat's chances of keeping his extended family in the White House for four more years.

Gallup finds a deep crack in Obama support emerging among whites, still statistically by far the largest group of voters. His support among several white subgroups is down 5% now among registered voters from what it was just before the 2008 election, when he easily defeated John McCain.

These sub-sets of non-Hispanic whites include young registered voters between 18 and 29, which provided him a huge margin four years ago, well-educated women and non-religious whites, among others. Other research has shown huge percentages of Obama's money donors from 2008 withholding their money this time.

Obama's support among registered voters today is 46%, five points below what it was nearly four years ago. Whites' support is down slightly more, six points, from 44% to 38%.
Obama's support among blacks, while still overwhelming, has also dipped four points from 91% to 87%.

This unwelcome news for the Chicago political operation comes after a horrendous two weeks of gaffes, bad jobs news and unforced errors by the politician once known here as the Real Good Talker.
His statement last Friday that the private economic sector is doing fine is still reverberating between campaigns, with Republican Mitt Romney using it as evidence that Obama is out of touch with Americans.

But they don't need Romney to notice that. On June 1, when everyone in the political world knew the probably not-so-great job numbers for May were to come out, Obama scheduled not one, not two, not three, not four, not five, but six campaign fundraisers across the Midwest.

So, as Obama chatted up the 1% at a price of $40,000 for a cup of coffee, Americans learned the nation created only 69,000 jobs last month, way below expectations, way below what's needed just to keep pace with population growth and way below the now laughable Recovery Summer job creation promises of both Obama and Joe Biden.

Obama's suggestion Friday was that we need to create more government jobs, another out-of-touch idea since Romney's been hitting at how important small business is as the top job creation driver.

Of course, Obama's party also lost its expensive gubernatorial recall effort in Wisconsin. Obama claimed this week that although he flew directly over Wisconsin on that big fundraising day, he was too busy to get involved with the union recall effort.

Artur Davis, a one-time Obama supporter in and out of Congress, has now given up on Obama to vote Republican, part of that 4% drop in black support.

Among non-married male registered voters Obama's support has plummeted 12%, from 51% to 39%. The Democrat's support is down nine points among those earning up to $60,000 a year. Among women he's down six points, 47% to 41%. Among men down seven points, 41% to 34%.

Young voters, who were crucial to Obama in 2008, are down now nine points, 52% to 43%. Among 30- to 49-year-olds he's down five, from 43% to 38%. Among the two older groups -- 50 to 64 and 65 and over -- he never was very popular. But he's down even more there now, six points in each group: from 44% to 38% and from 40% to 34% among the oldest.
Yet to come this month, an historic Supreme Court ruling on ObamaCare, which would register about 8.2 on the political Richter scale if the Democrat's signature legislation is thrown out.

Other than that, June's been good to Obama.

http://news.investors.com/article/614560/201206121808/obama-losing-support-among-whites-five-months-out.htm?p=full

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