Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Deconstructing fake poll (ABC/WaPo), COC etc

Tuesday, October 20, 2009 Hoaxes And Busted Polling. Just Another Day In MSM
Posted by: Duane R. Patterson at 4:13 AM

"Take, for instance, the ABC/Washington Post poll out Tuesday morning in the Post. The headline reads Public Option Gains Support - CLEAR MAJORITY NOW BACKS PLAN, by Dan Balz and Jon Cohen. The report on the poll goes into a lot of the breakdowns of how Republicans, Democrats and independents think about the health care issue plodding through Congress by percentage, but the key takeaway from this, which you will see all over MSM news outlets all day, is in this paragraph.

"On the issue that has been perhaps the most pronounced flash point in the national debate, 57 percent of all Americans now favor a public insurance option, while 40 percent oppose it. Support has risen since mid-August, when a bare majority, 52 percent, said they favored it. (In a June Post-ABC poll, support was 62 percent.)"

"57-40 now support a public option? I read that and thought there is no way this can be true, especially when we just read from Rasmussen Reports, the polling outfit that actually got the closest to predicting the real outcome of the election last year, that their brand new poll shows support for Obamacare has slipped to 42-54 against the plan. That's a gigantic swing between the two polls in such a short period of time over essentially the same issue. Time to go to the sampling to see which poll is bogus. Back to the Post. If you keep reading through the seemingly endless analysis by Balz and Cohen about what the results of their numbers mean for Obama, for Congress, and for the country, you get to the ideological makeup used to generate this "poll". Ready?

"Only 20 percent of adults identify themselves as Republicans, little changed in recent months, but still the lowest single number in Post-ABC polls since 1983. Political independents continue to make up the largest group, at 42 percent of respondents; 33 percent call themselves Democrats.

"ABC News/Washington Post pollsters called just over a thousand people, only found 20% who said they were Republicans, and they think it's news that Obamacare is now winning the day in American public opinion overwhelmingly. I'm stunned. I think I need to go lie down.

"Just in case anyone out there is interested in reality, Rasmussen reported that at the end of September of this year, the party breakdown in the country was 32.1% Republican, 37.5% Democrat, and if you lumped the rest into independents, which they certainly aren't, you'd get 30.4% independent. Keep in mind, that in this Rasmussen poll, this is registered voters, not likely voters. If you use likely voters, the spread between Democrats and Republicans gets even tighter as Republicans in general tend historically to be more likely to vote than Democrats. That is, unless you are involved with ACORN, in which case you are likely to vote several times, and encourage all the illegal brothels you've assisted to do the same.

"The ABC/Washington Post poll is completely busted. It is fantasy to believe that in this country, there are only 20% self-identified Republicans. On Monday, there was the U.S. Chamber Of Commerce hoax that got by CNBC, Reuters, and by extension, because of carrying the Reuters wire service, The New York Times and Washington Post. Rush Limbaugh was serially slandered by MSM, who gleefully attributed to him comments never spoken by Limbaugh in order to make him too toxic for NFL ownership. Instead of MSM actually checking out the alleged quotes to see if they were actually uttered by Limbaugh, they waited until the Sabotage Rush mission was accomplished before half-heartedly issuing an oops, in some cases, and not even that much in many more.

"Just keep in mind, you read it here first. The ABC/Washington Post poll on support for Obamacare is as phony as the fraudulant U.S. Chamber of Commerce "spokesperson" who tried to claim Monday that the Chamber had a change of heart and now was on board with the cap and tax legislation."

http://www.hughhewitt.com/blog/g/fc91d291-1e4a-4559-a2dd-3951c171bfab

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